ABI Research predicts that there will be a slowdown in the year-on-year worldwide GSM subscriber growth rate from over 22% in 2006/07 to 14% in 2008/09. The main reason cited for the decrease is the growing shift of users to UMTS 3G technologies. UMTS, including HSDPA, have experienced a year-on-year growth rate of 83% from 2006/07. ABI also predicts that worldwide GSM subscriber numbers will experience negative growth rates beginning in 2013.
“Within the GSM subscriber population, EDGE is expected to maintain a high growth rate following increased deployments in emerging markets,” says Asia-Pacific vice president Jake Saunders. “Nonetheless, GSM (including EDGE and GPRS) is still expected to have the highest number of subscribers of all mobile technologies, with a 70% global market share in 2013 (dropping from 78% in 2007.)”
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